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r-bayesiandisaggregation 0.2.1
Propagated dependencies: r-tidyr@1.3.2 r-stringr@1.6.0 r-readxl@1.5.0 r-magrittr@2.0.5 r-dplyr@1.2.1
Channel: guix-cran
Location: guix-cran/packages/b.scm (guix-cran packages b)
Home page: https://cran.r-project.org/package=BayesianDisaggregation
Licenses: Expat
Build system: r
Synopsis: Evidence-Based Bayesian Disaggregation of Aggregate Indices
Description:

Disaggregates an observed aggregate price index into sectoral components with a Bayesian state-space model in which the aggregate enters as a genuine observation density rather than as a renormalization identity. A random-walk-with-drift transition in log space (with partial pooling on the drift and the innovation scale) and an estimable cross-sectional concentration produce posterior draws of the sectoral indices with credible intervals, suitable as multiple-imputation input for downstream dynamic models. The Hamiltonian Monte Carlo engine follows Stan (Carpenter et al., 2017) <doi:10.18637/jss.v076.i01>; model comparison uses Pareto Smoothed Importance Sampling Leave-One-Out cross-validation (Vehtari, Gelman and Gabry, 2017) <doi:10.1007/s11222-016-9696-4>. A closed-form linear-Gaussian Kalman/RTS smoother provides an exact, MCMC-free Bayesian alternative for the same aggregate evidence.

Total packages: 1